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Stoltenberg’s statement doesn’t entail that the war is in its final phase – ISW
KYIV. Jan 17 (Interfax-Ukraine) – NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said on January 15 that the Russian-Ukrainian war is in a decisive phase, but this does not mean that the war is in the final phase or that Russian forces plan to use all available resources in the upcoming actions, according to the report of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) for January 16.
At the same time, it is noted that Stoltenberg’s statement confirms the previous ISW assessment, according to which the Kremlin probably intends to take decisive strategic actions in 2023.
“Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications representative Andriy Yusov remarked on January 15 that Russian President Vladimir Putin has recognized that Russian forces cannot take Ukraine quickly and is considering waging a drawn-out war of attrition. ISW noted on January 15 that the Kremlin retains its long-term maximalist goals to seize Ukraine and is likely considering multiple courses of action to achieve those goals,” the report reads.
It is reported that the NATO Secretary General also rejected the repeated fears of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz that Western arms supplies to Ukraine could lead to a nuclear escalation. Stoltenberg said that the risk of using nuclear weapons is low and that countries, including China, have conveyed to the Kremlin that nuclear weapons should not be used.
“Stoltenberg’s statements align with continuous ISW assessments that the Kremlin is extremely unlikely to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine,” the analysts say.
